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Ronnakorn Phothong

CAS1876

ชื่อผู้วิจัย   Ronnakorn Phothong
ชื่อผู้ส่งวารสารร่วม/ที่ปรึกษา สถานะ
ผู้วิจัยร่วม
Yanawut Kleamkrathok2, Settawut Coban3, Santhaphot Panthong4, Suriyakorn Thanamaiphutiph5
วารสารฉบับเต็ม


สาขา

สาขาวิทยาศาสตร์การแพทย์
ชื่อบทความ (ภาษาไทย) The analysis of the SIR model to study different patterns of future outbreaks of a dangerous disease (Pathogen X) using AI
ชื่อบทความ (ภาษาอังกฤษ) THE ANALYSIS OF THE SIR MODEL TO STUDY DIFFERENT PATTERNS OF FUTURE OUTBREAKS OF A DANGEROUS DISEASE (PATHOGEN X) USING AI
บทคัดย่อ ภาษาไทย -
คำสำคัญ -
บทคัดย่อ ภาษาอังกฤษ This study aims to analyze the SIR model (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) to better understand how population dynamics could be impacted by an outbreak of a potential future disease called "Pathogen X." Despite the importance of the SIR model, there has been limited research applying it specifically to a disease like Pathogen X. The purpose of this study is to explore how changes in key factors—such as the rate of transmission (β) and the recovery rate (γ)—influence the spread of the disease. By doing this, the study aims to provide valuable insights for controlling and managing future epidemics. Four scenarios were tested: (1) reducing both β and γ, (2) reducing β and increasing γ, (3) increasing β and reducing γ, and (4) increasing both β and γ.The findings show that in scenario (1), reducing both β and γ slows down the outbreak and lowers the peak number of infections. In scenario (2), the outbreak slows down and the epidemic ends faster. In scenario (3), the disease spreads more quickly, with a higher peak number of infections. Scenario (4) results in a faster and more severe outbreak, but it also concludes more quickly.Ultimately, the results of this study can help guide strategies for controlling and preventing the spread of various diseases in the future.
This study aims to analyze the SIR model (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) to better understand how population dynamics could be impacted by an outbreak of a potential future disease called "Pathogen X." Despite the importance of the SIR model, there has been limited research applying it specifically to a disease like Pathogen X. The purpose of this study is to explore how changes in key factors—such as the rate of transmission (β) and the recovery rate (γ)—influence the spread of the disease. By doing this, the study aims to provide valuable insights for controlling and managing future epidemics. Four scenarios were tested: (1) reducing both β and γ, (2) reducing β and increasing γ, (3) increasing β and reducing γ, and (4) increasing both β and γ.The findings show that in scenario (1), reducing both β and γ slows down the outbreak and lowers the peak number of infections. In scenario (2), the outbreak slows down and the epidemic ends faster. In scenario (3), the disease spreads more quickly, with a higher peak number of infections. Scenario (4) results in a faster and more severe outbreak, but it also concludes more quickly.Ultimately, the results of this study can help guide strategies for controlling and preventing the spread of various diseases in the future.
Keyword SIR model; Pathogen X; transmission rate; recovery rate